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🔥 Trend

Risk level high
Laddered position sizing · Trend-reversal exits · Manual step-up after profit
Performance · Core results (backtest projections · not a promise of returns)
Historical CAGR · 10 years
32%
10-year CAGR · Plan C: from $10,000 · minimum starting position size + manual tier-ups · window 2016-08~2026-04
Expected time to double
about 30 months
Compounding caliber · historical projection · not a promise
Historical max drawdown
-36.9%
No blow-up in backtest · max drawdown occurred at a high tier (Upgraded sizing tier) · -15.1% within the starting tier · longest underwater 39.5 months
Disclosure · caliber and policy disclosure (2026-07-30 capital top-up cutover)
Position-sizing regime change

From 2026-07-30, the Trend live account was upgraded from a $1,000 account with minimum fixed sizing to $10,000 with a conservative starting size, stepped up manually on account high-water marks after profits (three manual tiers). All figures on this page and the backtest page are a full re-run under the new Plan C caliber — not a proportional scale-up of the old figures.

Discretionary component

The 10-year backtest ROI of 15.39× depends on all three tier-up calls being correct — tier increases are executed at human discretion, not a fully mechanical result. With different judgment, results would be materially below this figure; live replication carries uncertainty.

Live history boundary

In HISTORY below, live trades before the 2026-07-30 deposit were made on a $1,000 account (minimum fixed sizing) — not the same order of magnitude as the current $10,000 starting scale, so per-trade P/L amounts are not directly comparable with the new caliber. Trades from then on are under the new caliber, each reconcilable against MT5.

Live · Delayed live positions and equity
Trend · live5-minute delay
Cumulative net PnL · live
Trade frequency
Live max drawdown
Current positions · 5-minute delay · market prices are delayed snapshot prices
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Account trading return curve · Full history
Time-weighted return (TWR) · includes open-position float (daily valuation) · deposit and withdrawal effects excluded · delayed display · Past performance is not indicative of future results.
History · All trade records · Profits and losses shown in full
Every trade reconcilable against MT5 · Close times in Beijing time · Position sizes not shown (same caliber as delayed positions)
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Backtest · 10-year history
Total return · 10 years
15.39×
Trades
256
Max drawdown
-36.9%
Longest underwater
39.5 months
Caliber
Plan C · $10,000
View the full 10-year backtest: equity curve / yearly returns / drawdown curve / caliber notes →
Risk Disclosure
High-risk strategy — under the new caliber, drawdown depth is an order of magnitude larger

At the Plan C caliber ($10,000 start · conservative starting size + manual tier-ups after profits), the 10-year backtest max drawdown is -36.9% (at the top sizing tier), with -15.1% even within the starting tier; the win rate is just 40.2%, the longest losing streak 8 trades, and the longest underwater period 39.5 months — the account may go more than three years without a new high. The backtest never blew up, but returns and drawdowns scale together. Follow only with idle funds that can withstand deep drawdowns. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

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